In this storyline, we explore the relationship between climate and forest management using results from the three alternative climate scenarios (Reference, High Change Climate, and Low Change Climate) and a scenario which invokes greater efforts to suppress wildfire on forest lands (Upland Wildfire Suppression).

Take Home Message

Warmer atmospheric temperatures lead to greater upland forest disturbance by wildfire and a reduction in harvest rates and basin-wide forest water demand. Increasing fire suppression helps sustain harvest rates.

Key Findings


View information about the sub-models that determine forest and snow dynamics:

View information about the assumptions in each of the scenarios. The only difference among the three climate scenarios is the climate input data. The Wildfire Supression scenario uses the same mid-range climate change projection that is part of the Reference Case scenario, but also assumes that fire suppression efforts increase to hold the area of forest burned each year to historical rates.

The Data

Wildfire Areas
Water Use as a function of Harvest Area
Forest Water Use Summary
Forest Harvest Areas